Soccer Betting Picks – How to Get the Information You Need
Unlike games of chance, when one is betting on soccer (or any other sport) doing some research certainly pays off. This is because the results are not entirely random, but are heavily influenced by the skill of the contestants. The more you understand about the strengths and weaknesses of the two teams, the more likely you are to make an intelligent bet and win.
Where do you turn to find the information that you need to make informed bets? Being familiar with the game you are betting on is obviously an advantage, although this is not strictly necessary if one is already accustomed to betting through a bookmaker. In that case, the research has already been done, but the information is presented from the perspective of the bookmaker and can be difficult to use effectively. Professional punters can bet based solely on the line given by the bookmaker, but it takes years of experience to do this well.
To make an informed bet, one has to go to the statistics. That means one has to go to the historical record to see how the team has performed in the past in order to determine its strengths and weaknesses. This research can be a truly daunting undertaking as there is an enormous amount of statistical data out there. For this reason, most people who choose to do their own research choose a few key statistics that they believe are most important and then create their own betting formula based on these. This does lead to more informed bets but cannot compare to the complex formulas employed by professional punters and bookmakers that use an enormous number of factors, both past and present.
For the casual bettor that has no desire to become a full-time gambler and thereby become a true expert, the best option is to get access to expert knowledge. In general, the true experts are fully aware of the value of their knowledge and try to capitalize on it. For those willing to share their knowledge with others, this is usually done through tips & picks services or by selling systems.
Experts using their knowledge to offer tips (advice on odds or point spreads) and picks (who will win or lose) often do so through paid services. These paid services can be premium-rate telephone services (09xx in the UK, or 1-900 in the US), subscription websites, subscription email lists, and so on. While the tips and picks are provided to subscribers, the methodology used to make them is not shared. Further, such a service is effectively an additional commission on the bet as the bettor has to spend money to get the pick before the bet is even made.
True experts rarely sell their entire system, the methodology and formulas they use to make winning tips and picks, but it does happen occasionally. The problem is that the average consumer frequently can not tell which systems were designed by actual experts and which were developed by shysters. There is no way to get around this problem altogether, but there are clues that can help you avoid being scammed. For example, sports betting systems that use progression betting are probably scams since progressive betting was designed for – and is only applicable to – games of chance with roughly even odds. Other things to look for include a solid money-back guarantee and proper customer service, as most scams do not provide these.
To make money at soccer betting, knowledge is key. You can do your own research and devise your own techniques, but unless you are willing to invest an enormous amount of time and energy into it, you will always be at a disadvantage. However, if you can acquire the knowledge of an expert, you can bet like a professional without going through years of trial and error as most true experts do.
A Simple Soccer Betting Picks to Ponder Upon
Soccer may be a very exciting game. However, this can also be the cause of your financial downfall. It has been known that there are many people who start on simple betting until they become compulsive gamblers. A simple soccer betting tip may help but you must ensure that you keep practicing these tips or you will just end up wasting your money again.
The first soccer betting tip that you need to remember is that you need to make intelligent betting decisions. It is difficult enough to win a game where you know the players but it is still a lot more complicated if you bet on games in which you do not know the teams or the league.
You see, your bet should be based on who you know because you know that the players are good and that the opposing team does not stand a chance, betting on teams you do not know or leagues that you haven’t even watched means that you are completely placing your money on luck. It is true that games from leagues you do not know may sound exciting. However, you are just risking bigger bets and losing your hard-earned money if you push for it.
Another soccer betting tip that you need to consider is insider tips. There are many scammers out there who will lead you to believe that this or that player is having injuries and all that. This will significantly affect your betting strategy based on the belief that the other team would win, only to find out that you have been led on. Always remember that you cannot win all the time. However, you can reduce losing if you make wise decisions.
Remember that a soccer betting tip will only remain futile words if they are not practiced. You need to make sure that your decisions are based on smart calculation and not on impulse. If you ar an impulsive gambler, you would realize later on that this is not a good idea.
Soccer Betting Picks – For Serious Money Maker Only!
If you’re a soccer bettor who’s serious about making money, it is natural to look for the best soccer betting tips. You will find a lot of information about that on the internet that gives you the basic soccer betting tips. These tips are quite elementary, and therefore you will need more sophisticated tips to ensure that you are able to consistently make money through soccer gambling. Here are a few things that are worth considering -
Research online
This is fast emerging to become the favorite especially among the beginners. You can leverage the power of the internet as you can get lots of tips, statistics and updates from espn.com as an example and keep yourself informed at all times.
Besides, actively participate in some soccer betting forums will definitely help you widen your horizon because you can find many experienced bettors inside who can give you lots of precious ideas on betting on which team. These people can sometimes give much detailed analysis and accurate picks than the so-called soccer experts you saw on the tv.
Reducing risk by betting at halftime
This is especially valid for beginners with poor knowledge of soccer or those who do not want to risk too much. Your return will be less if you bet at the halftime, but in this case you are more likely to make money, though slowly, as you can see the progress of the match in better light.
Considering the draw
This is an often overlooked option because it doesn’t sound as exotic as a winner. However, you will be surprised at how many times you can make a good amount of money through much reduced risk by this method. Therefore you can get some really favorable odds from this method.
The above tips are the next step in betting, as compared to the various elementary tips that beginners need. These should help you improve your chances of success and help you make more money. However, if you really want to make consistent money at all times, then you will definitely need the help of a proven success soccer betting expert who is willing to tell you his winning formula and system.
Soccer Betting Picks Masters
Sports betting and especially soccer betting can be great fun however to some people it may be a way of making a living. Soccer Betting Masters is a soccer system claiming it was designed to make money. What the system claims to offer is the ability to dominate side betting (know what games and what side of a game should win), over/under total betting (know if the total of a specific game will go over or under) and almost guarantee a 64% win rate on a person’s Sportsbook. It does not matter if a person is from the US, the system can be used from anywhere in the world.
Now according to the developers the key to making money with soccer betting is not to pick the right games with the most value. Although a person must have the right side or the right over/under total it is most important to have the right odds. Claims are further being made that the reason for people not making money with betting is the fact that only one percent of soccer punters actually know how to pick the right side or the right total of a game. These are the people that really make a living off sports betting. With soccer betting it isn’t the win rate but rather the total units profit.
Unlike a lot of developers of certain systems Frank Belanger does not claim to have stood up from the floor of poverty but rather makes the fact known that he has been successful all his life especially at sports betting. The system is not a get rich quick scheme and does not lay claim that a person will make $50,000 a week but making $10,000 a month might be very possible. The system is based on flat bets which relates to betting the same amount on each bet. This easy to understand system has been tested on more than 35,000 games. With Soccer Betting Masters a person simply opens a daily email or log into your members account, receive the picks and place bets in your sportsbook account.
Soccer Betting Masters is a simple, easy to follow system that can be considered to make a person money betting on soccer.
How to Make Money From Soccer Betting Picks
Earning an income from soccer betting is very attractive to anyone with a love of the sport. It is simple enough on paper as there is a plentiful supply of soccer matches to bet on. This is a mistake that is often made because people do not realise how difficult it can be to correctly predict the majority of them. It is hard work to produce and maintain a consistently high strike rate of winning soccer picks.
If you know how to make money from soccer picks then you are in a position to enjoy a simple and fun source of income. Many people do not have the faintest idea of how to be successful with any sports betting operation. Games can often turn out the opposite way when you do your own predictions. This is not good and losing money from soccer betting is the opposite of what you are trying to achieve.
You can compile your own soccer picks but this takes a long time to complete. The task of whittling down the full league program to only a handful of games on a shortlist is very time consuming. This is where many fans turn to soccer betting tips providers. These companies have a team of experts whose job it is to research and analyse. They study form of teams from all over Europe. It is also their duty to find out the latest injury news ahead of the games as this has a major influence on results. These organisations send their members the soccer picks, information and advice via email.
When you have a reliable source of soccer picks all you have to do is ensure you have the sufficient monies in place to fund your betting. If you have a large betting bank then you will see, results very quickly as your funds grow. A huge amount of money is not essential at the start and many people have begun with relatively modest amounts. The key to success with a small betting bank is remaining focused on your objective and you must exercise plenty of patience and discipline.
If your funds are limited when you embark on soccer betting there is a simple plan you can use to steadily increase your funds. After every month of betting, you increase your stake sizes slightly by using the profit won in the previous month. By doing this on a monthly basis, you will quickly start to see considerable growth where your bank is concerned.
After a period of 6-12 months, you should be in a position where your soccer betting activity is more like an investment that is paying big dividends. Not everyone has the dedication to reach this milestone but those that do taste huge financial rewards. When you get to this stage you will know exactly how to make money from soccer picks.
Soccer Betting Advice – The Accumulator Bet
The most important thing to remember when compiling your accumulator bet is to refrain from adding too many teams to it. In general, it is far better to have small numbers of selections when using accumulators. This is because you will have a better chance of success compared to a large number of selections.
The accumulator bet was invented by the bookmaker purely in the hope that people would get carried away and lose money regularly instead of winning it. It can still be a fantastic way to bet on soccer if you can maintain your discipline when identifying your selections.
The best way to compile your selections is to go through the fixture list and pick out any games that you have a strong opinion on. After you have gone through the fixtures, you should have a sizeable list of possible selections. You should not be tempted to proceed at this stage as your shortlist will need to be reduced further.
When fine tuning your selections you should only use the matches that give you a strong gut feeling about the likely result. Do not spend any length of time mulling over matches featuring evenly matched teams. Any games that leave you undecided about the possible outcome should be disregarded instantly.
When using football accumulators many people make the mistake of allowing odds to cloud their judgment and influence the selection process. This is a complete lack of discipline and will lead to losing bets. You should make selections on merit regardless of the amount of value in the betting odds.
It can be tempting to include your own team in the accumulator although where possible this should be avoided even if you think they may be beaten. This is because it is very difficult to form an objective opinion on a club that you have an emotional attachment with. There is no set number on how many selections to include in your bet suffice to say that a conservative number will usually reap more rewards.
For more football betting related resources please visit Soccer Betting Advice where you will find high quality football tips, predictions and advice supplied by industry experts.
Expert Betting Advice for the Beginner
What I am about to reveal in this article is perhaps one of the most underestimated aspects to betting on horses. Of all the expert betting advice I give, this ranks up there as one of the key items that all punters should know, hence the reason for me sharing this with you via this article.
So what is it that I am refering to? Its something that not a lot of people possess, but equally it can be learned and I am pleased to say that many of my members have learned from my many years of experience in horse racing. The important skill in question: discipline.
Why Beginners Face A Challenge
One of the biggest difficulties that punters have when trying to make the transition from practicing a hobby (as an amateur), to following expert betting advice and investing their time and money in horse racing for profit, is a lack of discipline.
Bookmakers to a certain degree take advantage of this fact, and often have daily promotions and special offers that may do nothing but make a punter lose their money. But the bookies exist to make money though, don’t they?
Well yes they do, however there is a perception that the bookmakers count on the vast majority of punters being willing to sit in front of a television or computer and bet on anything on the screen. Unfortunately, most punters that are betting on horse racing do exactly that and will therefore never be successful. These are punters are often happy with the occasional win, but they are operating an overall long-term losing strategy.
Important Points You Need To Know To Improve Your Discipline
As basic as it sounds (and I will elaborate on this below) it is all about having a strategy and sticking to it. Even a poor strategy is better than no strategy. If you’re privvy to expert betting advice you will be aware of this and appreciate that knowing when to ‘walk away’ is absolutely key to your success.
Betting on horses, if pursued as a serious venture, needs to be treated just like a business. As you will know from previous articles that I have written, I always preach about looking for value horses and not just backing favourites, so you need to have a plan and not just bet on a whim.
Whether you are following someone else’s strategy or your own, you must stick to it no matter what. Whether you win or lose, do not be tempted to deviate away from this strategy.
When Winning Can be Dangerous
Beginners often find that their discipline is stretched, particularly after a good winning streak, as there is a temptation to lump more money on your next horse. This is a classic mistake, as a punter starts to feel overconfident in their abilities leading to them allowing their discipline to slip.
A successful punter in this very same situation will stick to the plan. Indeed, the plan may dictate that your next bet will require extra funds (perhaps due to the horses value, form and potential), however it should never be done emotionally.
Being Boring Is Best
I know this is a strange way to put it, but its often a misconception that betting properly is boring, and that there is no fun involved.
Well, that may be the case, however I have found that when I am winning, no matter how boring the process is, the end result is fun. I would rather have a healthy betting bank and less fun, than the reverse.
A successful punter always keep their head when others around them are losing it and this is what you’re aiming at. When others are taking part in an illogical feeding frenzy over series of emotionally induced bets, you remain steadfast in allowing yourself to take a good close look at the odds and probabilities behind the bet. This allows you to make an intelligent decision to turn away and protect that precious betting bank capital.
Improve Your Soccer Betting Advice Using The Simple Sequence Method
Improve Your Soccer Betting is a series of articles that describe some well known and well used statistical techniques that will help the soccer punter make more informed bets. Each of the techniques has its own advantages and disadvantages and using them in isolation will improve your chances of winning. However, together they will prove invaluable in your battle with the bookies. In each article we will describe in detail how a particular method works giving you enough information for you to go ahead and create your own forecasts. We will also give you information as to where you can already find websites that use this technique in comprising their weekly soccer betting forecasts.
The statistical methods described in this set of articles will help you to arrive at a better decision about the match, or matches, that you are betting on.
In this article we will be describing the well known Simple Sequence method. The Simple Sequence method is not just a single method, there are many ways of devising a simple sequence method, and you could probably devise one of your own. The way the Simple Sequence method is implemented in the Footyforecast 2.0 software and on the 1X2Monster website is to use a weighting factor on each of a series of games.
Here are the basic rules…
A number of matches are used to look back at from the forecast date. So let’s say our team has the following results (most recent on the right hand side):
W D L L W
This would give them the following points:
3 + 1 + 0 + 0 + 3 = 7
Now to take into account current form each is given a weighting factor, so the oldest match is multiplied by 1 up to the most recent match being multiplied by 5. Of course this will vary depending upon the number of matches you use, but for this example it gives us the following:
3*1 + 1*2 + 0*3 + 0*4 + 3*5 = 20 points
Now let’s say the away team playing against the team above have the following record:
W W D D D
They will have:
3*1 + 3*2 + 1*3 + 1*4 + 1*5 = 21 points.
The points difference HOME v AWAY = 20 – 21 = -1.
Now, depending how you classify this it could represent an away win, i.e. all matches below a points difference of 0 = away win, or it could be classed as a draw.
Let’s look at a simple example:
For our example we will use the last ten games played for each team. That’s the last ten home games for the home side, and the last ten away games for the away side. The match is between Middlesbrough and Bolton Wanderers in the English Premiership played on 20th Jan 2007.
Middlesbrough
L L W W W D L D W W
This gives
0*1 + 0*2 + 3*3 + 3*4 + 3*5 + 1*6 + 0*7 + 1*8 + 3*9 + 3*10
This equals
0+0+9+12+15+6+0+8+27+30 = 107
Bolton
L W W W D L L W W L
This gives
0*1 + 3*2 + 3*3 + 3*4 + 1*5 + 0*6 + 0*7 + 3*8 + 3*9 + 0*10
this equals
0+6+9+12+5+0+0+24+27+0 = 83
Therefore the difference is
107 – 83 = +24
This could be determined as a home win but depending on your chosen threshold levels could be classed as a draw.
Now it’s your turn…
Of course you may choose to use different values to those shown above and by experimenting you may come up with better values to use. You may also choose to use all home and away games played by each team in your calculations instead of just home games for the home team and away games for the away team. You may choose to have different thresholds than those shown above. You may also find it beneficial to plot actual results against the Simple Sequence method predictions to see how many actual draws fall in the away win, draw, and home win prediction zones.
If you have the necessary skills you could go away and build your own spreadsheet of data or even write a piece of software to take in results and fixtures and apply the Simple Sequence method to your data. Or, if you’re lazy like me, you could grab some free software that already does this for you. 1X2Monster and Footyforecast have been providing this kind of facility since 1999. A total of seven different statistical methods are used to determine the outcome of each game played in each league, and a comprehensive record of how each method in each game performed is kept. Apart from how each tip performed within its respective league 1X2Monster also provides the league tables of how each league has performed in successfully predicting outcomes of games. The league tables of prediction performance are produced for home win predictions, draw predictions, away win predictions, and for overall predictions and are invaluable tools to the soccer punter when deciding where to target their European soccer betting predictions.
12 Smart Soccer Betting Advice
I give these 12 tips to anyone who loves to bet on soccer.
I always tell them that it’s possible to win money from soccer betting, but it’s unlikely that you’ll come out ahead in the long run.
So you must know when to pull out when you are ahead and take a short break. The odds are always stacked against you, so play for fun, don’t get too stressed out.
These 12 tips can help make sure that you have a great time in soccer punting:
1.Remember gambling is entertainment. It’s not a way to make money, and odds are you won’t come out ahead. So don’t worry about it. Play for the fun, not to make money.
2.Pay for your entertainment. Don’t think of money you spent gambling as money you “lost.” Just accept it as the cost of entertainment. To put it in perspective, you probably wouldn’t spend $500 to see a movie, would you?
3.Mix it up. Be sure that gambling isn’t your only leisure activity. Mix it up with other things, like going out to eat, seeing movies, or joining a local sports team or league. You’ll probably find that you enjoy gambling more once you take a break and come back to it.
4.Bring friends! They make everything more fun, and you can help keep each other from going overboard.
5.Remain realistic. Don’t gamble with money you need for everyday expenses. If you gamble thinking you’ll “make it back,” you have a high chance of heading for problems when bill time rolls around.
6.Stay away from ATMs! And debit cards. And credit cards. It’s too easy to use them and they can quickly turn an evening of fun into a major financial setback.
7.Don’t bet your belongings. If you’re out of money, it’s definitely time to quit.
8. Know your limits: money and time. Before you go gambling, put the amount of money you’re willing to spend on an outing’s entertainment in your wallet in cash. When the cash is gone, you’ll know it’s time to stop. Also, it’s easy to lose track of time when you’re gambling, so set a time limit before you start and stick to it. You can even arrange to have a friend give you a “rescue ring” on your cell phone!
9.Don’t borrow it. This one is simple: Never borrow money to gamble. If you don’t have the money, you can’t afford to gamble with it. And, chances are good you’ll leave even more in the hole.
10.Take 5. Remember to take breaks often. Taking a breather from the action helps make your allotted cash last longer.
11.Check yourself. The risk of gambling “too much” is higher if you’re stressed or depressed, so be extra careful during these times! If you’re feeling this way, a better option could be going to a funny movie with a friend.
12.Be careful with alcohol. Be careful of free alcoholic drinks when you’re gambling. Sure, it makes you feel special, like a real high roller, but alcohol can also make you less inhibited and skew your judgment. Know your personal drink limit and stick to it!
Soccer Betting Advice – How to Choose the Right Betting Exchange
Since BetFair popularized betting exchanges, many other exchanges have arrived on the scene seeking to share in BetFair’s success. Further, since BetFair has attracted the participation of many professional punters – including traditional bookmakers – the competition for back bets has become intense. This has convinced many lay bettors to move on to other exchanges where the competition for favorable odds is less intense. Today there are a number of betting exchanges available, but when choosing a betting exchange there are many factors one should take into account.
The key to a successful betting exchange, and the individual’s success on an exchange, is the amount of “action,” or the number of participants. All exchanges work on the basis of matching a lay bettor (one “laying” a bet that a team will lose) with back bettor (one “backing” a team to win); therefore, the more participants in an exchange, the more likely one is to have his bet matched. If there is no matching bet, there is no bet. Despite the fact that there are now hundreds of betting exchanges available, in order to be successful the punter has to operate in an exchange with a lot of “action” or many participants. A bit of research – looking for both the number of participants and the amount of liquidity – online should help reveal the “action” level of any particular exchange.
Another factor to keep in mind is choosing an exchange with a lot of “action” on the correct sports. Although most exchanges allow betting on a range of sports, many exchanges have become popular with punters seeking to bet on particular sports. For example, some exchanges have more “action” on European or World Cup soccer betting while others emphasize English football. Assuming the punter has a preferred league, finding the exchanges with the most “action” for that league is very important. This information can frequently be found by looking at online forums focused on your desired sport.
Certain exchanges also emphasize specific national markets and this can make a difference, especially when betting terminology differs. For example, in Australia where some of the terminology differs, or in Germany where the core language is different, focusing on an exchange that caters to the home market can help prevent misunderstandings and bad bets. A punter can often locate exchanges that cater to his national market by looking at online forums focused on that national gaming market.
Another key consideration to take into account is the exchange’s commission policy. All of the leading exchanges make their money by charging a commission on winnings, and since a wager only comes about once a lay bettor and a back bettor are matched, there is always a winner or a loser for each bet. Knowing the commissions charged by the exchange is a vital part of making profit and responsible bets. Most, but not all, exchanges have some manner of sliding scale for their commissions based upon the amount of activity; the more activity and money in the punter’s account, the less the commission. However, this is not true of all exchanges. It is extremely important to review an exchange’s commission policy before joining and depositing money.
The above are just a few of the key things that the smart punter should look at before joining an exchange. There are, of course, many other factors that can be taken into consideration, but the ones cited above are by far the most crucial. Choosing the right exchange can make or break betting fortunes, so doing some research beforehand is certainly worth the effort.
